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Prediction for CME (2017-10-18T07:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2017-10-18T07:00Z
CME Note: These predictions are for STEREO-A. Not for the Earth!
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2017-10-21T03:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2017-10-20T03:00Z
Prediction Method: SARM
Prediction Method Note:

These predictions are for STEREO-A using the SARM (Shock Arrival Time Model) model by manually entering the CME data in http://spaceweather.uma.es/sarm_v2/sarm

CME: 
Longitude: 3.8 
Latitude: 38.0 
Velocity at 21.5 Rs: 1439.0 km/s 

Target Distance 0.958 AU 

Predicted Transit time using CME data (only) = 44.0 h

Shock Arrival Time:   Oct 18th 7:00 + 44.0 h = Oct 20th 3:00

Lead Time: 53.33 hour(s)
Difference: 24.00 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Marlon Nunez (UMA) on 2017-10-18T21:40Z

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